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#estimation

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Already heard some great talks at #pycon_austria2025 , but the best and most important (and also funny) one today for me was the talk by Ines Panker with the title: "Software estimation is a delusion or is it just a misused tool?"

This is a talk everyone needs to see who ever wondered why actual software development always need soooo much time. Unfortunately the talk was not recorded. But there is blog post covering the same topics here: ines-panker.com/2020/11/04/est

Whatever development process you use—whether #Scrum, #Kanban, or a combination of the two—there's always some #estimation involved. That's not necessarily a bad thing. However, many IT managers seek ways to feel in control, and as a result, they often focus too much on those estimates and the frequently misunderstood concept of #velocity. Worse, they might push teams to provide "better estimates." If you've been in this business long enough, you know that's a non-existent concept.

The most...

Real-time #estimation of immunological #responses against emerging #SARS-CoV-2 #variants in #UK: a mathematical modelling study thelancet.com/journals/laninf/

Our study shows feasibility of real-time estimation of Abs kinetics before SARS-CoV-2 variant emergence. This estimation is valuable for understanding how specific combinations of exposures influence Abs kinetics & for examining how #COVID19 #vaccination-campaign timing could affect population-level immunity to emerging variants

#statstab #157 Effect size measures in a two-independent-samples case with nonnormal and nonhomogeneous data

Thoughts: You can never have enough (confusing) effect size measure. At least make them appropriate for your data.

#effectsize #statistics #nonparametric #es #estimation

link.springer.com/article/10.3

SpringerLinkEffect size measures in a two-independent-samples case with nonnormal and nonhomogeneous data - Behavior Research MethodsIn psychological science, the “new statistics” refer to the new statistical practices that focus on effect size (ES) evaluation instead of conventional null-hypothesis significance testing (Cumming, Psychological Science, 25, 7–29, 2014). In a two-independent-samples scenario, Cohen’s (1988) standardized mean difference (d) is the most popular ES, but its accuracy relies on two assumptions: normality and homogeneity of variances. Five other ESs—the unscaled robust d (d r * ; Hogarty & Kromrey, 2001), scaled robust d (d r ; Algina, Keselman, & Penfield, Psychological Methods, 10, 317–328, 2005), point-biserial correlation (r pb ; McGrath & Meyer, Psychological Methods, 11, 386–401, 2006), common-language ES (CL; Cliff, Psychological Bulletin, 114, 494–509, 1993), and nonparametric estimator for CL (A w ; Ruscio, Psychological Methods, 13, 19–30, 2008)—may be robust to violations of these assumptions, but no study has systematically evaluated their performance. Thus, in this simulation study the performance of these six ESs was examined across five factors: data distribution, sample, base rate, variance ratio, and sample size. The results showed that A w and d r were generally robust to these violations, and A w slightly outperformed d r . Implications for the use of A w and d r in real-world research are discussed.

Handbook On Remote Sensing For Agricultural Statistics, UN [2017]
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openknowledge.fao.org/items/49 <-- link to technical resource
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[a little older but still very valuable; it would be interesting to see how more recent AI plays into any 2nd edition]
#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #agriculture #farming #crops #croplands #foodresources #statistics #geostatistics #sustainability #global #strategy #methods #model #modeling #research #GPS #precisionagriculture #census #estimation #yields #monitoring #openaccess #opendata #handbook
@UN @FAO