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#lpc

7 posts7 participants0 posts today
Continued thread

Though I'm happy the #LPC won a minority under Mark Carney they are at best a centrist party. The only really good news about this election is that I truly believe, of all the political leaders, Mark Carney is by far the best person to tackle Trump and his economic fallout.

I heard from @danneau today that Courtenay-Alberni was one of the top ridings *in the country* for Advanced Polls turnout!

Here's Elections Canada data page:

elections.ca/content.aspx?sect

Here are the top four ridings:

#1: #CPC leader #PierrePoillievre's riding
Carleton: 43,394 votes cast
#2: #GPC leader #ElizabethMay's riding
Saanich—Gulf Islands: 37,468
#3: Essex (near Windsor ON): 34,668
#4: Calgary Crowfoot: 33,743
#5: #LPC leader #MarkCarney's riding
Nepean (near Ottawa): 32,689
#6: Ottawa Centre: 32,604
#7: Courtenay-Alberni: 32,536

Tomorrow will be.... INTERESTING!! #Elxn45 #CanPoli #CdnPoli

"So there we have it. Carney's conundrum. The only way to buy him as a change agent is to accept one of two things, neither of which has much evidence in favour of it — that he is spectacularly competent, or that he's just a pretty normal guy learning the ropes in a new job, and that job just happens to be leading a thoroughly broken party that could have saved itself, but didn't."

#MattGurney

readtheline.ca/p/matt-gurney-c

#MarkCarney #LPC
#CanPol #cdnpoli #elxn45
#TheLineCa

The Line · Matt Gurney: Carney's change conundrumBy Matt Gurney
Replied to Kevin Russell

@kevinrns Now, w/o the hateful spammer ... :)

Yes, I think that a lot of good has come from the last few years of the #LPC / #NDP working together. Unfortunately, despite that he is a good leader and advocate, I don't think Jagmeet will be the federal NDP leader by August. The NDP are going to be, wrongly, wiped out in this election. And someone is going to have to take the blame for that.
None of which should diminish the positive legacy that Jagmeet has left on the country.

In case you're wondering how the provincial and federal versions of Canadian political parties “line up" together, you can get a good start by seeing who the Premiers of each province endorse, or don't.

Progressive Conservative leaders Doug Ford (ON) and Nova Tim Houston (NS) look to be pretty steadfast -- Poillievre-averse. 😂

Alberta Wildrose Premier Smith and Sask Party Scott Moe are full Poillievre.

All in this CBC article today: cbc.ca/news/politics/houston-p

For others:

NDP Premiers David Eby (BC) and Wab Kinew (MB): Happy to endorse the NDP’s Singh
Apr 4:
(CBC - Eby) cbc.ca/news/canada/british-col
(CITY - Kinew) winnipeg.citynews.ca/2024/04/0

Québec's CAQ Premier Legault has not endorsed anyone specifically. (CBC ca.news.yahoo.com/quebec-premi)

New Brunswick and Newfoundland & Labrador have Liberal Premier, presumably in line with Carney's Liberals, but not necessarily.

And that leaves PEI: Their Progressive Conservative Premier resigned a couple months ago, and their new one is.. well, preoccupied. So no endorsements forthcoming for anyone!

CBC: cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edwa

If you made it this far down then welcome to the rabbit hole I just dug myself. How do we get out of here??

CBCTensions with N.S. premier simmered as Poilievre made his sole stop in the province | CBC NewsFor the first time this campaign, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre made a stop in Nova Scotia on Thursday — the second province he's visited led by a Progressive Conservative premier conspicuously absent from the federal party's events.

National #Elxn45 #CanPoli polls update!

I drew ‘trend lines” following the bottom for each party.

Definitely a break happened around April 2-4.

Liberal and Conservative party numbers shifted together.

The #LPC surge stopped and kind of reset to a lower, very stable or slightly upward movement.

The #CPC halted their decline and have slowly recovered.

The #NDP and #Bloc both saw low, but stable, numbers move to a slight decline.

In all though, VERY stable numbers!
#CdnPoli

End of the 3rd work-week of the campaign and the last before advance voting starts!
(You can go here for info on voting before election day!
elections.ca/content2.aspx?sec)

Projections and poills are pretty static but there are some small moves.

338 project the Liberals at 196 seats (a majority), CPC at 120, Bloc at 17, NDP at 8, and -- for the first time -- the Greens holding their 2 seats.

As for actual polls below, the national polls are very static. I'm starting to wonder if there is a heartbeat in the people taking these polls. lol.

The Quebec poll is a little more interesting. The Liberals have definitely come down from on-high but remain with a giant lead in opinion which is likely the biggest reason they are also likely to win a majority.

Canada: 338canada.com/polls.htm
Quebec: 338canada.com/polls-qc.htm
#CanPoli #Poll #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #LPC #CPC #Bloc #NDP #GPC