Nick Byrd, Ph.D.<p>"compromise forecasts, defined as the average prediction in a group [we]re more accurate, and that this advantage persist[ed] through time" in "5 years of data from the Good Judgement Project".</p><p><a href="https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.221216" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">doi.org/10.1098/rsos.221216</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/Prediction" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Prediction</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/BigData" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>BigData</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/Forecasting" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Forecasting</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/JudgmentAndDecisionMaking" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>JudgmentAndDecisionMaking</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/JDM" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>JDM</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/epistemology" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>epistemology</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://nerdculture.de/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>stats</span></a></p>
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Older people (over 55) were less prone to a certain type of #deliberation during #buying and #donation #decisions—even though they were more ambivalent (and #ambivalence correlated with more deliberation) and even when controlling for working #memory—than younger people (18-24). Total N = 120.
Images of pages from the article are attached: https://ir.ua.edu/handle/123456789/9902
